Could Russell Have Won by Staying Out at Interlagos?

08/11/2024

George Russell’s strong lead at Interlagos was jeopardised by Mercedes’ pit strategy, sparking debate over a pivotal missed opportunity.

George Russell emerged as the frontrunner early in the Brazilian Grand Prix, leading the first 28 laps at Interlagos with impressive poise. Yet, Mercedes F1 made a pivotal decision to call him into the pits, a move that Trackside Engineering Director Andrew Shovlin later reflected upon with a measure of regret.

“In hindsight, many races might be handled differently,” Shovlin admitted. “But in this instance, it’s clear we could have opted for an alternative approach. One of the key elements here was that, as the VSC ended, we had a fleeting window—a second or two—when we could have kept George out.”

The reasoning, Shovlin explained, was strategic: “At that moment, we were already facing the inevitable time loss of a pit stop. Staying out could have played to our advantage, especially with the high probability that another incident would occur—triggering, as it did, a red flag.”

Russell himself was vocal about his wish to remain on track, yet Mercedes anticipated that a red flag was unlikely, and calculated that the risks of staying out would outweigh the benefits. “The call to pit made sense for us,” Shovlin continued, “particularly with Lando approaching. George would still be ahead of those who hadn’t pitted, with the added benefit of fresher tyres, should the red flag not materialise.”

“Our approach tends to avoid assuming a red flag,” he explained. “At times, you predict it right, at others you don’t.”

Had a different path been chosen, it’s evident that Russell might have emerged in a commanding position. Ultimately, the gamble favoured those who stayed out, securing their place at the front as the race unfolded.

Did Mercedes Misjudge the Red Flag Risk at Interlagos? Did Mercedes Misjudge the Red Flag Risk at Interlagos?

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Full 2025 F1 testing results

Carlos Sainz
1
CARLOS
SAINZ
Leader
Lewis Hamilton
2
LEWIS
HAMILTON
+0.031s
Charles Leclerc
3
CHARLES
LECLERC
+0.083s
George Russell
4
GEORGE
RUSSELL
+0.197s
Max Verstappen
5
MAX
VERSTAPPEN
+0.218s
Alex Albon
6
ALEX
ALBON
+0.302s
Kimi Antonelli
7
KIMI
ANTONELLI
+0.436s
Oscar Piastri
8
OSCAR
PIASTRI
+0.592s
Pierre Gasly
9
PIERRE
GASLY
+0.692s
Lance Stroll
10
LANCE
STROLL
+0.881s
Liam Lawson
11
LIAM
LAWSON
+0.904s
Jack Doohan
12
JACK
DOOHAN
+1.020s
Yuki Tsunoda
13
YUKI
TSUNODA
+1.149s
Isack Hadjar
14
ISACK
HADJAR
+1.327s
Fernando Alonso
15
FERNANDO
ALONSO
+1.352s
Esteban Ocon
16
ESTEBAN
OCON
+1.380s
Lando Norris
17
LANDO
NORRIS
+1.534s
Gabriel Bortoleto
18
GABRIEL
BORTOLETO
+1.709s
Nico Hulkenberg
19
NICO
HULKENBERG
+2.109s
Oliver Bearman
20
OLIVER
BEARMAN
+3.013s

Testing Total Distance Covered by Team

1
Mercedes
458
2
Haas
457
3
Racing Bulls
454
4
Alpine
405
5
Williams
395
6
Ferrari
382
7
McLaren
381
8
Sauber
354
9
Aston Martin
306
10
Red Bull
304
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14 MAR 01:30
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14 MAR 05:00
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15 MAR 01:30
QU
15 MAR 05:00
RACE
16 MAR 04:00
F1 CALENDAR 2025
Race
Date
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Australian
Albert Park
16 Mar
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Chinese
Shanghai International
23 Mar
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Japanese
Suzuka Circuit
6 Apr
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Bahrain
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13 Apr
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Saudi Arabia
Jeddah Street
20 Apr
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